Sample Member Letter
A new Member Letter has been released to the public! The decline by commodities into their multi-year cycle low has been an extended, trying affair for us bulls. I believe the long-awaited low formed...
View ArticleHigh-Risk Market
Back in June, around the time stocks were forming their most recent intermediate-term low, I blogged a piece describing why the nature of that low would tell us what to expect later in the summer....
View ArticleAutumn Crisis
Earlier this week, the S&P 500 managed to better its April high, as suggested more than two months ago in our discussion about V-bottoms. Because stocks left behind a V-bottom at a weekly cycle...
View ArticleCycle Analysis of Gold, Stock, and the Dollar
Over the past couple of weeks, I have received an unprecedented number of e-mails from Members posing alternate cycle views and seeking my thoughts on one possibility over another. No doubt, many...
View ArticleCurrent Call: Buy Crude Oil
Cycle analysis is currently showing a favorable setup for entering a long crude oil trade. Oil's daily cycles typically span 1.5 to 2.5 months. With the previous daily cycle low (DCL) occurring in late...
View ArticleElection Decline
With a fresh QE program in place, the least likely path many people see for stocks is for a substantial correction to unfold just before the Presidential election, but cycle analysis suggests this...
View ArticleCurrent Call Failed: Sold Crude Oil
The call to buy oil on October 3 has failed, an ignominious start to the Current Call series. At the time of the call, oil was trading at $89.66. The low for that day, which was believed to be a daily...
View ArticleGreen Line or Panic
Over the past week, gold formed a daily swing low in the middle of its timing band for not only a daily cycle low, but also a weekly low. The rallies out of weekly lows tend to produce extended,...
View ArticleCurrent Call: Buy Gold
Cycle analysis is currently showing a favorable setup for entering a long gold trade. Over the past three weeks the yellow metal has produced an intermediate-degree decline by forming a weekly swing...
View ArticleCurrent Call Redux: Buy Gold Again
I'm beginning to believe my new Current Call series is going to prove to be a jinx on my trading. Like the oil trade, gold quickly flopped after the issuance of a buy signal. This gold trade was...
View ArticleEquity Correction Almost Done
Back on October 13 I posted a piece describing the factors within cycle analysis which suggested stocks would decline toward the election. Today's post-election plunge puts a final piece of the puzzle...
View ArticleCurrent Call IV: Buy Gold Miners
With our third Current Call to buy gold still alive and kicking, I would like to open a fourth call: buy the gold miners. Cycles for both gold and the general stock market are aligning in a way which...
View ArticleOperation Shout
If the addition of $45B per month of unsterilized counterfeiting doesn't juice inflation, I don't know what will. The FOMC has now committed to creating $85B per month out of thin air at least until...
View ArticleSample Member Letter
In late 2012, I began a series entitled "Current Call" which sought to display the power of cycle analysis via high-probability setups. The series began with a thud. In fact, the series began with...
View ArticleCommodity Market Remains Broken
Somebody please remind the commodity market that it left a 3-year cycle low behind nine months ago. After a 3-month surge out of that low, commodities have stumbled and continue to...
View ArticleDeflation Arising
For those of you who put weight on Fibonacci retracements... a subset of traders which excludes yours truly, by the way... the view on the Continuous Commodity Index is not looking good for...
View ArticleLooney Bear
The Canadian dollar looks to be in technical trouble, and if its correlation with the price of crude oil continues to hold, cycle analysis of oil supports the bearish view. Let's begin with the CAD...
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